GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fortuna Koln · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Fortuna Koln are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lokomotive Leipzig are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortuna Koln hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (65.1 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Fortuna Koln holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fortuna Koln

Probability

48.0%

Model confidence

16.6%

Fortuna Koln has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fortuna KolnDWWWD

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Lokomotive LeipzigWWLWW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Fortuna KolnLokomotive Leipzig
66.7Attack36.7
75.0Defence80.0
62.5Form63.3
65.1Power62.1
1.24xG0.70
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