GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - West · 8/1/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fortuna Köln · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fortuna Köln are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Köln II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Köln II hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Regionalliga - West, while Fortuna Köln holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fortuna Köln

Probability

49.3%

Model confidence

49.3%

Fortuna Köln has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fortuna KölnDDLLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Köln IIWWLLW

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Fortuna KölnKöln II
57.8Attack50.0
62.7Defence66.7
54.9Form66.7
58.9Power64.8
1.73xG1.06
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