GGOALVIO

Germany · 3. Liga · 8/15/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alemannia Aachen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Fortuna Köln are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Alemannia Aachen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Alemannia Aachen hold a 65.0-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the 3. Liga, while Alemannia Aachen holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alemannia Aachen

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

11.3%

Alemannia Aachen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fortuna KolnLWWWW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Alemannia AachenWLWDW

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Fortuna KolnAlemannia Aachen
0.0Attack100.0
66.7Defence66.7
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power88.7
1.42xG1.83
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