Fortuna Kölnvs
Stuttgart II
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 10/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortuna Köln · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fortuna Köln 0-1 Stuttgart II
Original prediction
Fortuna Köln
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 42.3% | 40.1% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.8% | 25.4% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 32.0% | 34.6% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Fortuna Köln
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Fortuna Köln has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40