Fortuna Kölnvs
Fortuna Düsseldorf
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 9/6/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortuna Köln · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fortuna Köln 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf
Original prediction
Fortuna Köln
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.92 | 31.1% | 39.9% | 8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.0% | 27.4% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 42.0% | 32.7% | -9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.37 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Fortuna Köln
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Fortuna Köln has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00