GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 6/1/2025, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SSV Merten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Fortuna Köln II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while SSV Merten are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and SSV Merten hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 66.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.1% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while SSV Merten holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SSV Merten

Probability

55.1%

Model confidence

55.1%

SSV Merten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fortuna Köln IIWLLLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
SSV MertenDLWWD

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Fortuna Köln IISSV Merten
55.2Attack84.4
46.0Defence51.1
44.8Form66.7
48.8Power66.7
1.71xG2.74
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