GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 2/18/2024, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Fortuna Köln II are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Frechen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 66.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.5% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Frechen

Probability

59.5%

Model confidence

59.5%

Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fortuna Köln IIWWDDD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FrechenDWWLW

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Fortuna Köln IIFrechen
55.2Attack78.2
46.0Defence62.1
44.8Form66.7
48.8Power66.5
1.33xG2.53
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