GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 10/6/2024, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bergisch Gladbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fortuna Köln II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bergisch Gladbach are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bergisch Gladbach hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 63.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bergisch Gladbach holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bergisch Gladbach

Probability

50.3%

Model confidence

50.3%

Bergisch Gladbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fortuna Köln IILWLDW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Bergisch GladbachDDWWL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Fortuna Köln IIBergisch Gladbach
55.2Attack60.9
46.0Defence64.4
44.8Form66.7
48.8Power63.8
1.25xG1.96
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