GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 8/20/2023, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bergisch Gladbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fortuna Köln II are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (DWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Bergisch Gladbach are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bergisch Gladbach hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 63.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bergisch Gladbach holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bergisch Gladbach

Probability

50.3%

Model confidence

50.3%

Bergisch Gladbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fortuna Köln IIDWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 4.00/1.67

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
Bergisch GladbachWLLWL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Fortuna Köln IIBergisch Gladbach
55.2Attack60.9
46.0Defence64.4
44.8Form66.7
48.8Power63.8
1.25xG1.96
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