GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Cup - Women · 9/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

PSV/Eindhoven W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Fortuna Hjørring W 0-0 PSV/Eindhoven W

Original prediction

PSV/Eindhoven W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 21:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.2927.6%33.3%5.7 pts
Draw3.6225.0%28.3%3.3 pts
Away1.9147.4%38.4%-9.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.62 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-9.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–28%
  3. 3.2–18%

Predicted outcome

PSV/Eindhoven W

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

38.4%

PSV/Eindhoven W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fortuna Hjørring WDLLLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PSV/Eindhoven WWWLLW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Fortuna Hjørring WPSV/Eindhoven W
33.3Attack33.3
77.8Defence100.0
44.4Form100.0
53.1Power80.3
1.43xG1.43
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