GGOALVIO

Germany · DFB Pokal · 8/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fortuna Düsseldorf · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Fortuna Düsseldorf are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while SC Freiburg are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortuna Düsseldorf hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (60.2 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the DFB Pokal, while Fortuna Düsseldorf holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

45.7%

Fortuna Düsseldorf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fortuna DüsseldorfLLWLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SC FreiburgWWWLW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Fortuna DüsseldorfSC Freiburg
86.7Attack50.0
26.7Defence50.0
66.7Form50.0
60.2Power51.0
2.62xG1.90
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