Fortuna Düsseldorfvs
Stuttgart II
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 8/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortuna Düsseldorf · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 Stuttgart II
Original prediction
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.4% | 39.3% | -14.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.5% | 25.4% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.95 | 23.1% | 35.4% | 12.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Fortuna Düsseldorf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20