Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Friday, 31 July 202613:00Updated today
Fortuna Düsseldorf II

Fortuna Düsseldorf II

Home
W
vs
13:00
TSV Steinbach

TSV Steinbach

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

TSV Steinbach33%
Fortuna Düsseldorf II33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
33%
Draw
33%
TSV Steinbach
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
99
TSV Steinbach
9
Defence
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
66
TSV Steinbach
0
Momentum
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
100
TSV Steinbach
0
Danger (xG)
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
3.60
TSV Steinbach
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.60 xG for Fortuna Düsseldorf II and 1.13 xG for TSV Steinbach — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.47), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.72 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Fortuna Düsseldorf II)
3.60
avg per match
xG for (TSV Steinbach)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Fortuna Düsseldorf II)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (TSV Steinbach)
4.50
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf IIFortuna Düsseldorf II
WD
TSV SteinbachTSV Steinbach
LW

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Fortuna Düsseldorf II33%
Draw33%
TSV Steinbach33%

TSV Steinbach leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs TSV Steinbach: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Fortuna Düsseldorf II take on TSV Steinbach in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.60 for Fortuna Düsseldorf II and 1.13 for TSV Steinbach. The gap of 0.47 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Fortuna Düsseldorf II

Fortuna Düsseldorf II

W
@ SC St. Tönis
15 Jul 2026
41
D
@ Bochum II
16 May 2026
22
TSV Steinbach

TSV Steinbach

L
@ FC Viktoria Köln
7 Jul 2026
05
W
vs Bahlinger SC
16 May 2026
42

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs TSV Steinbach?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs TSV Steinbach?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs TSV Steinbach?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs TSV Steinbach?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more