Fortisvs
Regar-TadAZ
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Challenge League · 10/23/2026, 1:25:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Regar-TadAZ · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fortis 3-1 Regar-TadAZ
Original prediction
Regar-TadAZ
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 12:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 14.56 | 6.3% | 23.2% | 16.9 pts |
| Draw | 6.29 | 14.6% | 23.8% | 9.3 pts |
| Away | 1.16 | 79.1% | 53.0% | -26.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-26.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Regar-TadAZ
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Regar-TadAZ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40