GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League A - Division A Silver · 8/5/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Forte Taganrog are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Chelyabinsk are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Chelyabinsk hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Second League A - Division A Silver, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Forte TaganrogLWLLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ChelyabinskDLL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.33/1.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 0/3
Forte TaganrogChelyabinsk
44.4Attack35.2
50.0Defence70.4
44.4Form48.1
47.3Power53.2
0.83xG0.98
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