Fortalezavs
Once Caldas W
COMPLETEDColombia · Liga Femenina · 2/28/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Fortaleza are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Once Caldas W are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (41.2 v 30.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the Liga Femenina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60