GGOALVIO

Brazil · Brasileiro U20 A · 3/8/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fortaleza U20 are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Grêmio U20 are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 2 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Grêmio U20 hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (56.5 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Brasileiro U20 A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

36.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fortaleza U20W

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Grêmio U20W

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Fortaleza U20Grêmio U20
39.7Attack58.3
69.8Defence55.0
55.6Form61.7
56.5Power59.3
1.15xG0.98
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