Fortaleza FCvs
Union Magdalena
COMPLETEDColombia · Copa Colombia · 3/15/2023, 8:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortaleza FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Fortaleza FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Union Magdalena are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza FC hold a 37.5-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the Copa Colombia, while Fortaleza FC holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fortaleza FC
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Fortaleza FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60