GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera B · 2/17/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fortaleza FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Fortaleza FC are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Orsomarso are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 0.67 scored and 0.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 4 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza FC hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (63.8 v 47.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Primera B, while Fortaleza FC holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fortaleza FC

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Fortaleza FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fortaleza FCL

GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
OrsomarsoWWL

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.67/0.33

BTTS 0/3O2.5 0/3
Fortaleza FCOrsomarso
47.9Attack27.5
73.6Defence66.7
66.0Form41.2
63.8Power47.2
1.08xG0.38
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