GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 4/3/2026, 11:20:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fortaleza FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Fortaleza FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while La Equidad are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.3 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the Primera A, while Fortaleza FC holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fortaleza FC

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

14.3%

Fortaleza FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fortaleza FCDLLLW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
La EquidadLLDDD

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Fortaleza FCLa Equidad
37.7Attack41.7
55.1Defence45.8
39.1Form43.1
46.3Power45.3
1.31xG1.02
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