Fortaleza FCvs
Jaguares
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 3/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortaleza FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Fortaleza FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Jaguares are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza FC hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 35.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.3% in the Primera A, while Fortaleza FC holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fortaleza FC
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
15.3%
Fortaleza FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20