GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 4/19/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Fortaleza FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Águilas Doradas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Águilas Doradas hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Primera A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

37.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fortaleza FCDDLLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Águilas DoradasLWLWD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Fortaleza FCÁguilas Doradas
37.7Attack38.1
55.1Defence57.1
39.1Form50.8
46.3Power51.6
1.02xG0.95
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