GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 5/3/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bucaramanga · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Fortaleza FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bucaramanga are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bucaramanga hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.1% in the Primera A, while Bucaramanga holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bucaramanga

Probability

42.1%

Model confidence

15.1%

Bucaramanga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fortaleza FCLLWDD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BucaramangaDLWLL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Fortaleza FCBucaramanga
37.7Attack46.4
55.1Defence65.2
39.1Form44.9
46.3Power52.3
0.83xG1.16
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