GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 1/17/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fortaleza FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Fortaleza FC are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Alianza Valledupar are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza FC hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the Primera A, while Fortaleza FC holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fortaleza FC

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

Fortaleza FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fortaleza FCLLLWL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Alianza ValleduparDLWWW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Fortaleza FCAlianza Valledupar
37.7Attack25.8
55.1Defence50.0
39.1Form27.3
46.3Power37.0
1.24xG0.62
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