Fortaleza ECvs
Sportivo Trinidense
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/30/2024, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortaleza EC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Fortaleza EC are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sportivo Trinidense are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza EC hold a 50.5-point power-rating edge (74.1 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fortaleza EC holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fortaleza EC
Probability
74.3%
Model confidence
74.3%
Fortaleza EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40