GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/24/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fortaleza EC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Fortaleza EC are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while San Lorenzo are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza EC hold a 24.0-point power-rating edge (74.1 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fortaleza EC holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fortaleza EC

Probability

63.7%

Model confidence

63.7%

Fortaleza EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fortaleza ECLLDDD

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
San LorenzoWWDDD

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Fortaleza ECSan Lorenzo
71.8Attack33.3
74.4Defence72.2
76.9Form38.9
74.1Power50.1
1.71xG0.49
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