Fortaleza ECvs
Rosario Central
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/21/2024, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortaleza EC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Fortaleza EC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Rosario Central are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza EC hold a 26.7-point power-rating edge (74.1 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fortaleza EC holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fortaleza EC
Probability
72.1%
Model confidence
72.1%
Fortaleza EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60