Fortaleza ECvs
Palestino
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/5/2023, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortaleza EC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Fortaleza EC are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LLWD), averaging 1.25 scored and 0.75 conceded, while Palestino are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza EC hold a 34.5-point power-rating edge (74.1 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fortaleza EC holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fortaleza EC
Probability
70.5%
Model confidence
70.5%
Fortaleza EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.25/0.75
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00