Fortaleza ECvs
Operario-PR
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 8/31/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortaleza EC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Fortaleza EC 0-0 Operario-PR, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Fortaleza EC 1-1 Operario-PR
Original prediction
Fortaleza EC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 53.3% | 48.5% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.6% | 29.3% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 4.88 | 19.1% | 22.1% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.38 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.8 pts
Projected Score
Fortaleza EC 0–0 Operario-PR
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Fortaleza EC
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Fortaleza EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Fortaleza ECWDDDW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Operario-PRDLLLL
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Fortaleza ECOperario-PR
37.5Attack41.7
70.8Defence56.9
55.6Form50.0
56.1Power51.4
1.05xG0.66