Serie B
Fortaleza EC
Home
Novorizontino
AwayThe model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesFortaleza ECNovorizontinoProbability breakdown
Fortaleza EC leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Fortaleza EC head into this in Serie B fixture at Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo in mixed form (W), while Novorizontino arrive in mixed form (LW). Fortaleza EC have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for Novorizontino over 2 games.
Both sides are defensively strong — Fortaleza EC (91/100) and Novorizontino (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.
Fortaleza EC have won 2 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game at home. Novorizontino have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.
Novorizontino have generated 2.22 xG per game recently while conceding 0.52 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.
There is no head-to-head data between Fortaleza EC and Novorizontino in the engine.
The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 36% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Fortaleza EC 3509%, Draw 3079%, Novorizontino 3412%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.
Recent form
Fortaleza EC
Novorizontino
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Fortaleza EC vs Novorizontino?
GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 36% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Fortaleza EC vs Novorizontino?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.
Will both teams score in Fortaleza EC vs Novorizontino?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Fortaleza EC vs Novorizontino?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.