Fortaleza ECvs
Nacional Potosí
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/10/2024, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortaleza EC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Fortaleza EC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Nacional Potosí are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza EC hold a 31.6-point power-rating edge (74.1 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fortaleza EC holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fortaleza EC
Probability
81.8%
Model confidence
81.8%
Fortaleza EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40