Fortaleza ECvs
Libertad Asuncion
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/8/2023, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortaleza EC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Fortaleza EC are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Libertad Asuncion are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza EC hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (74.1 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fortaleza EC holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fortaleza EC
Probability
63.6%
Model confidence
63.6%
Fortaleza EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80