GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 10/28/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fortaleza EC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Fortaleza EC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while LDU de Quito are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza EC hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (74.1 v 65.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fortaleza EC holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fortaleza EC

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

41.4%

Fortaleza EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fortaleza ECLLWWD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
LDU de QuitoWDDWW

GF 5 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Fortaleza ECLDU de Quito
71.8Attack54.8
74.4Defence81.0
76.9Form61.9
74.1Power65.4
1.16xG0.75
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