Fortaleza ECvs
Internacional
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 4/15/2023, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Fortaleza EC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Internacional are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza EC hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 44.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Serie A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00