Fortaleza ECvs
Estudiantes de Merida FC
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/5/2023, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortaleza EC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Fortaleza EC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Estudiantes de Merida FC are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza EC hold a 51.0-point power-rating edge (74.1 v 23.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 89.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fortaleza EC holds the strongest overall chance at 90% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fortaleza EC
Probability
89.6%
Model confidence
89.6%
Fortaleza EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80