Fortaleza ECvs
Cuiaba
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 3/31/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Fortaleza EC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Cuiaba are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza EC hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (55.5 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.3% in the Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
35.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60