Fortaleza ECvs
CRB
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 10/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortaleza EC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Fortaleza EC 0-0 CRB, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Fortaleza EC 2-2 CRB
Original prediction
Fortaleza EC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 09:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 49.5% | 46.6% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 27.4% | 28.5% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 4.01 | 23.2% | 24.9% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.40 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.9 pts
Projected Score
Fortaleza EC 0–0 CRB
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Fortaleza EC
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Fortaleza EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Fortaleza ECWDDWD
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
CRBWLWLW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Fortaleza ECCRB
38.5Attack51.0
71.9Defence53.1
58.3Form53.1
58.1Power53.8
1.18xG0.78