Fortaleza ECvs
Corinthians
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 9/18/2024, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortaleza EC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Fortaleza EC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Corinthians are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza EC hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (74.1 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fortaleza EC holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fortaleza EC
Probability
57.3%
Model confidence
57.3%
Fortaleza EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40