Fortaleza ECvs
Corinthians
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 10/4/2023, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortaleza EC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Fortaleza EC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Corinthians are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza EC hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (74.1 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fortaleza EC holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fortaleza EC
Probability
57.3%
Model confidence
57.3%
Fortaleza EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80