Fortaleza ECvs
Ceara
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 9/13/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortaleza EC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Fortaleza EC 0-0 Ceara, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Fortaleza EC 1-1 Ceara
Original prediction
Fortaleza EC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 50.0% | 52.0% | 2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.8% | 29.8% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 4.38 | 21.2% | 18.2% | -3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Projected Score
Fortaleza EC 0–0 Ceara
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Fortaleza EC
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
Fortaleza EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Fortaleza ECWWDWD
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
CearaLWLWL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Fortaleza ECCeara
37.0Attack34.6
72.8Defence56.8
58.0Form38.3
57.7Power45.7
1.07xG0.49