Fortaleza ECvs
Boca Juniors
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/26/2024, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortaleza EC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Fortaleza EC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Boca Juniors are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza EC hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (74.1 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fortaleza EC holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fortaleza EC
Probability
62.7%
Model confidence
62.7%
Fortaleza EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20