Fortaleza ECvs
Avai
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 9/9/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortaleza EC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Fortaleza EC 0-0 Avai, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Fortaleza EC 1-0 Avai
Original prediction
Fortaleza EC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 59.9% | 53.5% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.6% | 29.2% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 6.42 | 14.5% | 17.3% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.4 pts
Projected Score
Fortaleza EC 0–0 Avai
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Fortaleza EC
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Fortaleza EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Fortaleza ECWDWDD
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
AvaiLLWWW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Fortaleza ECAvai
37.2Attack35.9
71.8Defence56.4
56.4Form37.2
56.7Power45.4
1.08xG0.54