Fortaleza ECvs
America Mineiro
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/31/2023, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortaleza EC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Fortaleza EC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while America Mineiro are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza EC hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (74.1 v 50.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fortaleza EC holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fortaleza EC
Probability
72.8%
Model confidence
72.8%
Fortaleza EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20