Fort Waynevs
Portland Hearts of Pine
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 5/6/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fort Wayne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Fort Wayne are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Portland Hearts of Pine are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fort Wayne hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the USL League One, while Fort Wayne holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fort Wayne
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
12.8%
Fort Wayne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00