Fort Waynevs
NY Cosmos
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 9/5/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fort Wayne · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fort Wayne 2-4 NY Cosmos
Original prediction
Fort Wayne
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 54.2% | 67.3% | 13.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.1% | 19.1% | -5.0 pts |
| Away | 4.09 | 21.8% | 13.7% | -8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Fort Wayne
Probability
67.3%
Model confidence
67.3%
Fort Wayne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20