GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 5/2/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charlotte Independence · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fort Wayne are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Charlotte Independence are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte Independence hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the USL League One, while Charlotte Independence holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charlotte Independence

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

Charlotte Independence has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fort WayneLWLDL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Charlotte IndependenceWLLWD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Fort WayneCharlotte Independence
43.9Attack75.4
61.4Defence52.6
47.4Form68.4
51.6Power65.9
1.28xG1.68
View match centre →