Fort Waynevs
Boise
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 10/24/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fort Wayne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fort Wayne 0-2 Boise
Original prediction
Fort Wayne
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 36.8% | 37.2% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.6% | 27.9% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 37.7% | 34.9% | -2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Fort Wayne
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Fort Wayne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20