GGOALVIO

USA · USL Super League · 10/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lexington W · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Fort Lauderdale United W 0-1 Lexington W, with an exact score probability of 17%.

Prediction record

Final result

Fort Lauderdale United W 2-1 Lexington W

Original prediction

Lexington W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 21:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home5.7015.7%18.4%2.7 pts
Draw3.9222.9%25.5%2.6 pts
Away1.4661.4%56.1%-5.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-5.3 pts

Projected Score

Fort Lauderdale United W 0–1 Lexington W

Exact score probability: 17%

Predicted outcome

Lexington W

Probability

56.1%

Model confidence

56.1%

Lexington W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fort Lauderdale United WLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Lexington WDWWLL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Fort Lauderdale United WLexington W
19.0Attack50.0
47.6Defence77.8
14.3Form55.6
30.2Power60.8
0.64xG1.48
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