GGOALVIO

USA · USL Super League · 9/18/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dallas Trinity W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Fort Lauderdale United W 1-2 Dallas Trinity W

Original prediction

Dallas Trinity W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.6119.4%29.3%10.0 pts
Draw3.5525.1%27.1%2.0 pts
Away1.6155.5%43.5%-12.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-12.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–110%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

Dallas Trinity W

Probability

43.5%

Model confidence

43.5%

Dallas Trinity W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fort Lauderdale United WLLWLL

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Dallas Trinity WWWLLD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Fort Lauderdale United WDallas Trinity W
16.7Attack46.7
50.0Defence53.3
25.0Form46.7
33.8Power49.9
1.11xG1.30
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