GGOALVIO

USA · USL Super League · 10/22/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Carolina Ascent W · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Fort Lauderdale United W 0-2 Carolina Ascent W, with an exact score probability of 18%.

Prediction record

Final result

Fort Lauderdale United W 0-0 Carolina Ascent W

Original prediction

Carolina Ascent W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 12:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home8.4710.6%8.0%-2.7 pts
Draw4.7618.9%16.6%-2.3 pts
Away1.2870.5%75.4%4.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.76 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.9 pts

Projected Score

Fort Lauderdale United W 0–2 Carolina Ascent W

Exact score probability: 18%

Predicted outcome

Carolina Ascent W

Probability

75.4%

Model confidence

75.4%

Carolina Ascent W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fort Lauderdale United WLWLLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Carolina Ascent WWWDWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Fort Lauderdale United WCarolina Ascent W
25.9Attack63.0
40.7Defence77.8
22.2Form81.5
32.9Power75.3
0.45xG2.21
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